With sports betting recently becoming legal in the United States, we’ve partnered with the experts from Total Sports Picks to share their best NFL bets each week this season.
There’s a fantastic 12-game NFL slate this Sunday, with nine games in the 1pm (ET) time-slot kicking off the action. As usual, we’re here on Bruno Boys to share a preview and picks for some of our favorite games of the day.
The Total Sports Picks team had a solid Week 11, going 8-5 across the weekend, although we just missed hitting our lock of the week. Our season record now sits at a healthy 85-70-3.
Here’s the Total Sports Picks team’s Week 12 preview.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (1:00pm ET)
This is the type of game that has the potential to crack the 100-point barrier. The two NFC teams who will no doubt be laying it all on the line to finish the season with a 6-0 record and give themselves the slightest chance of playing in the playoffs. The Falcons have found some form over their last two games, beating the Saints and Panthers while putting up 27.5 points per game.
They will face their third NFC South division rival in a row this weekend as they take on the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay have lost four of their last five games and have just a 3-7 record on the season. They have allowed more points than any other team in the NFL at just over 31 per game, while the Falcons aren’t far behind at just over 26 per game.
The over has hit in 8 of the 10 Buccaneers games this season, and while the Falcons offense hasn’t been as prevalent, they have found some form in the last few weeks. Expect there to be plenty of passing attempts and plenty of scoring in this game.
Pick: Over 51.5 (-110 at BetRivers)
New York Giants at Chicago Bears (1:00pm ET)
After being one of the Super Bowl favourites at the start of the season, the Bears have largely had a year to forget. They are currently 4-6 and will likely need to win all 6 of their remaining games to give themselves a chance at playoffs. They were disappointing against the Rams on the road in Week 12, going down by 10 points but have a much easier task this week against the Giants at home.
The Bears have hardly been able to put up a winning score this year, averaging just 16.9 points per game, the fifth worst mark in the league. They should have an easier time scoring this week against the Giants though, who have allowed the third most points in the NFL this season at just over 28 per game. In fact, their run over the past few weeks has been pretty tough. They have faced teams with winning records in five of their last seven games, so the respite this week should be very welcome.
The Giants have lost their last six games in a row by an average margin of 12.6 points. They were beaten comfortably by the Jets on the weekend, who have just a 3-7 record themselves. We think the Bears bounce back here and claim an easy home win.
Pick: Bears -6.5 (-110 at BetRivers)
Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (4:25pm ET)
The game of the day sees the Cowboys traveling to Foxborough to take on the Patriots. The Patriots lost their first game of the season in Week 9 against the Ravens, but bounced back on the road in Philly in Week 11. It was the defense that got the job done once again last Sunday, as they kept the Eagles to just 10 points. It was the fifth time this season that New England has held their opponents to 10 or less. The Pats have allowed just 10.8 points per game this season, the fewest of any team in the league and have accrued a total of 28 turnovers including 19 interceptions. That said, they come up against one of the more dynamic offenses in the league this week in the Cowboys, who have averaged the most total yards per game at 444.6 and the fourth most points per game at 28.6.
You can analyze the stats and form all you want, but it’s hard to bet against the Patriots at home. They have been dominant at home this season, going 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread. We think they not only will win, but also cover here.
Pick: Patriots -6.5 (-110 at BetRivers)
Want to see the Total Sports Picks team’s bets for ALL of this weekend’s games? Click here to see their full list of Week 12 NFL Picks