Each week throughout the year, our new resident NFL betting expert, Bahama Dom, will be giving you his insight into his top 4 NFL betting picks.
Overall Win-Loss Record: Week 1: 2-2 (-.22 units) Week 2: 3-1 (+1.83 units) Week 3: 4-0 (+4.00 units) Week 4: 1-3 (-2.20 units) Week 5: 3-1 (+1.90 units) Week 6: 3-1 (+1.92 units) Week 7: 0-3-1 (-3.35 units) Week 8: 2-2 (-.2 units) ------------ Overall: 18-13-1 (+3.68 units)
Now, let’s get to the Week 9 NFL picks from your very own, Bahama Dom.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens (1:00pm ET)
This weeks matchup between the Ravens and the Colts will tell us a lot about the AFC playoff picture. The Ravens two losses this year have been at the hands of the Kansas City Chiefs and the division rival Pittsburgh Steelers. Lamar Jackson early in his career has shown that he is a great player but has to take that next step against the upper echelon of teams. I don’t see the Colts being led by Philip Rivers in that light.
The Ravens defense may well be short handed this week with a positive covid test but I like them in this spot against Rivers. There will be opportunities for turnovers. I also like the Ravens to run the ball with some success even though the Colts defense is a top ranked unit against the run. The loss of Ronnie Stanley will be big but they have some depth to try and fill the void left by the all-pro tackle.
Pick: Ravens +1 (-110 at William Hill)
Carolina Panthers at Kansas City Chiefs (1:00pm ET)
Run CMC is due back this week for the Panthers this week. The Panthers had a long week to prepare and will be fresher in this matchup, I still don’t think they have enough on defense to minimize the weapons for Kansas City. The Chiefs are entering this game after trouncing the New York Jets, and were throwing the ball at will.
Even if Christian McCaffrey is just used as a decoy, Robby Anderson and DJ Moore are the types of weapons to hit pay dirt on a busted coverage. For Kansas City I think they will try and do what they did last week. Score more than 30. The weather is also not going to be a factor as it was in so many places last week throughout the Midwest and East Coast. Expect the Chiefs to drop 30-plus themselves and the Panthers to get the difference.
Pick: Over 52.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers (4:05pm ET)
The Chargers offense with Justin Herbert has been a sight to see. In their last four matchups they have averaged almost 32 points per game. On the other side the Raiders have a good offense with playmakers at all of the skill positions. Anthony Lynn is on the hot seat and I think another late game defeat could be it for his tenure on the sidelines for the Chargers.
Both teams have marginal defenses, though the Chargers are better on that side of the football, I see a lot of points being scored inside SoFi Stadium. The Raiders defense did a good enough job to minimize the Cleveland Browns a week ago, but the weather was definitely a helping hand. Both teams are going to be scoring at will this week.
Pick: Over 52 (-110 at William Hill)
Miami Dolphins at Arizona Cardinals (4:25pm ET)
Tua Tagovailoa was unimpressive in his first NFL start but he ended up getting the win. Arizona enjoyed a hard earned bye week after their come from behind win over the Seattle Seahawks two weeks ago. The Miami offense will be without their top 2 running backs and that is a recipe for disaster for a young Quarterback.
I like the Cardinals in this matchup because of Kyler Murray. His mobility will be the difference maker in extending plays or taking off on the ground. The Dolphins forced multiple turnovers a week ago and I don’t see that happening again.
Pick: Cardinals -4.5 (-110 at Westgate)