Each week throughout the year, our new resident NFL betting expert, Bahama Dom, will be giving you his insight into his top 4 NFL betting picks.
Through Week 1, Bahama Dom is sitting at 2-2 on the young season. The Kansas City Chiefs covered the -9 on opening night to take Mr. Bahama to 1-0 on the season but after the Miami Dolphins and the Minnesota Vikings (they stunk!) couldn’t cover the spread, the Arizona Cardinals came to the rescue and were an outright underdog winner against a tough San Francisco 49ers team.
Overall Win-Loss Record:
Week 1: 2-2 (-.22 units)
Sports betting fans should check back weekly as we chronicle his journey into making you degenerates some serious money.
San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets (1:00pm ET)
The Reigning NFC Champs come into this game after a bad week 1 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The Niners did not have an answer for DeAndre Hopkins or Kyler Murray extending plays with his feet. The New York Jets got throttled on the road at Buffalo giving up over 300 yards passing and losing playmaker Leveon Bell in the process.
Last year Sam Darnold was the most pressured Quarterback in the league. The same can be said for week 1 even with the Jets new offensive line. The San Francisco pass rush is going to be the difference maker in this one and is going to force mistakes. The Niners run game is also going to gain a bit more traction than it did against Arizona and carry the Niners to cover easily.
Pick: 49ers –7 (-110 at DraftKings)
Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1:00pm ET)
The two new starting quarterbacks in the NFC South both lost last week. The Tom Brady era in Tampa got off to a rocky start with the Buc’s losing 34-23. while Teddy Bridgewater could not complete a double-digit 4th quarter comeback or cover the spread. Brady, ran for a touchdown and threw for two more, but threw a pick 6 on the first drive of the second half.
The Buccaneers offense did no favors to the defense by coughing the ball up 3 times, a concerning stat going back to last year. Despite the Buccaneers having an abundance of playmakers Carolina is not that far off. Matt Rhule and offensive coordinator Joe Brady will learn from the week 1 blunder of not getting his best player the ball with the game on the line. Carolina will keep the divisional matchup close.
Pick: Panthers +9.5 (-117 at DraftKings)
Minnesota Vikings @ Indianapolis Colts (1:00pm ET)
The Colts come into this game off a loss, and after losing their starting running back for the year with a torn Achilles. They still tout one of the best offensive lines in the league, and a team with Phillip Rivers at this stage in his career needs to get back to those roots of pounding the football. Minnesota lost week 1 to Green Bay in a game that was more of a blowout than the scoreboard showed.
Both teams are defensive minded at heart. Mike Zimmer and Frank Reich want ball control and physical defense. There will be some turnovers in this game, with Kurt Cousins throwing a pick, and Rivers throwing 2 in Week 1. Newly named starting running back Jonathon Taylor has also had ball security issues in the past. The play in this game is to load up in the Under bet at -48.5.
Pick: Under 48.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks (8:30pm ET)
The last game Sunday night is my last pick of the week. Bill Belichick’s defense forced 3 turnovers in week 1, and Cam Newton debut was filled with him running read options galore. Russell Wilson and the Seahawks came out firing on all cylinders and look primed for another deep playoff run. Wilson was efficient by throwing 4 Touchdown passes and had 1 explosive run gain.
The Seahawks are an average team ATS at home as a Favorite going 22-21-2 since 2014. The acquisition of Jamal Adams just brings a new nastiness that the defense has been lacking since the Legion of Boom days. Russell Wilson is also in the prime of his career and a generational talent like his turns it on for the bright lights of SNF. Cam newton will have to make some throws and I still do not see him doing that on a consistent basis.
Pick: Seahawks –4 (-110 at DraftKings)