Baker Mayfield, QB, Cleveland Browns
Mayfield did not throw a ton against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 10, but he completed his first 13 passes of the game on his way to going 17-for-20 for 216 yards and three touchdowns. He has less than 220 passing yards in three of his last four games, during a favorable stretch of schedule, but the 2017 Heisman Trophy winner has multiple touchdown passes in each of those same four games.
The Browns have a bye in Week 11, but Mayfield’s Week 12 matchup is too good to ignore. The Cincinnati Bengals are literally on a record pace for yardage allowed in a season, and they’ve allowed at least three touchdown passes in each of their last three games. They also allowed over 350 passing yards in each of their three games prior to Week 10.
After Week 12 the schedule tightens up for Mayfield, with the Houston Texans (Week 13), Denver Broncos (Week 15) and Baltimore Ravens (Week 17) entering Week 10 in the top-12 of the league against quarterbacks. But he’ll get a trending the wrong way Carolina Panthers pass defense in Week 14, the Bengals again in Week 16 and he threw for 342 yards against the Ravens back in Week 5.
Mayfield is worth stashing this week, on the idea of streaming him in Week 12 (attention Patrick Mahomes and Jared Goff owners in particular). But he’s in line to be at minimum a viable QB2 down the stretch, and as his ownership rates have flat-lined there’s an opportunity here.
ESPN Ownership: 40.4%
Yahoo! Ownership: 45%