Aug 11, 2010
Hello and welcome to the first installment of an eight installment series breaking down all 32 NFL teams from the Individual Defensive Player (IDP) perspective. This series will be taking a look at each team’s respective defensive schemes and how those schemes affect the value of certain defensive players. We will also be discussing some varying levels of sleepers as well as some players to avoid, or better known as busts. Let’s get things started with the NFC West.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
DEFENSIVE SCHEME: The Seahawks run a 4-3 with a decent amount of cover-2 looks. Expect Seattle to show some 3-4esque looks with an “elephant” player (i.e. a standup defensive end) this season. It remains to be seen who would fill this type of role, though Aaron Curry, David Hawthorne, or possibly Lawrence Jackson seem to be the leading candidates. Pete Carroll has stated that Aaron Curry is going to blitz more this season and could big a nice late-round pick in big-play leagues.
EVERY-DOWN LINEBACKERS: Lofa Tatupu, David Hawthorne/Aaron Curry
STONE COLD LOCK: When healthy, Lofa Tatupu is a top notch LB2. The problem is he hasn’t been healthy the last two seasons and he’s lost some perceived value because of it. You should still still have faith in the 27 year old linebacker out of USC. As long as he stays healthy, he will give you top-30 fantasy numbers.
ON THE RISE: David Hawthorne helped many IDP owners win their fantasy championships last year. He was one the best fantasy football linebackers during the second half of the season. Although he finds himself moved to the weak side of the defense with the return of Lofa Tatupu, he should still provide owners with solid LB3 numbers.

BUST POTENTIAL: How can you not like Earl Thomas as a player. He has the makings of someday being an NFL superstar. However, he landed in a less than optimal position in Seattle. The Seahawks run a lot of cover-2 schemes which require the safeties to drop back in deep coverage decreasing their tackle opportunities. This decrease is further compounded when the team has good outside linebackers (which Seattle does). People are expecting too much out of Thomas as witnessed by his positional ADP of 17.
COMATOSE SLEEPER: Seattle is really hurting at defensive line. So much so that they moved former defensive tackle Red Bryant to the starting left defensive end position. The lineman will the best shot at getting the majority of defensive snaps is starting defensive end Chris Clemons. He will go undrafted in 99% of leagues and could be a decent pick at the very end of deep drafts or as waiver wire fodder.
ST. LOUIS RAMS
DEFENSIVE SCHEME: Under new coach Steve Spagnuolo, the Rams have adopted a more aggressive, blitzing 4-3 defensive scheme similar to the one that was used in New York during their super bowl run in 2008. However, good system or not, you have to have talented players and the Rams just aren’t up to par with the rest of the NFL. They finished 31st in points allowed last season and only really have a couple of bright spots on their defense.
EVERY-DOWN LINEBACKERS: James Laurinaitis, Bobby Carpenter
STONE COLD LOCK: Without a doubt, the most valuable and dependable fantasy football player on this defense is second year player James Laurinaitis. He quickly became the leader of the defense at middle linebacker and, although he lacks superb lateral agility, top-notch physicality, and only has average diagnostic skills, he’s still a very solid player. Expect Laurinaitis put up 100+ solos and be a top 10 linebacker again this season.
ON THE RISE: Is this the year that defensive Chris Long finally breaks out? It usually takes defensive linemen two to three years to hit their stride and finally start living up to their expected potential. Long really struggled during the first half of last season; however he finished strong with five sacks in his last eight games. Expect that momentum to carry over into 2010. The only concern is that Long doesn’t have much talent surrounding him on the defensive line and that he will consequently be facing a good amount of double teams. That aside, he’s talented enough to overcome some of these obstacles and put up top 20 defensive lineman numbers.
BUST POTENTIAL: Oshiomogho Atogwe has been the Rams best playmaker on defense the last few seasons. What you should be concerned about is his offseason injury and contract issues. Atogwe underwent major surgery in January to repair a dislocation and torn labrum in his shoulder and also had a hernia injury. Combine this with his dissatisfaction over his contract situation and you could have the makings for a down season. Still draft Atogwe as a top-5 safety, but don’t expect a repeat of his 2009 statistics.
COMATOSE SLEEPER: Being a huge Cowboys fan, I had the displeasure of watching Bobby Carpenter come in to play in nickel packages. Although he was overrated coming out of college and a huge disappointment in Dallas, it wasn’t all his fault. He was severely miscast in the Cowboys 3-4 system and should play much better as a weak side backer in a 4-3, where he will have more freedom to run and get after ball-carriers. “Carp” is also likely going to be a three-down linebacker on a defense that is going to be on the field a ton. Considering he’s going undrafted in 95% of leagues, Carpenter is a guy you can grab in the last round and get good value from.
Need help organizing your fantasy draft? We’ve got you covered….
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
DEFENSIVE SCHEME: Under new defensive coordinator Greg Manusky, the 49ers abandoned the “hybrid 3-4” defensive system in favor of a more traditional 3-4 system. The players seemed to welcome the switch and players like Manny Lawson saw improvement in this scheme. As usual, ignore the nose tackle in this scheme and outside of Justin Smith you should be weary of defensive ends.
EVERY-DOWN LINEBACKERS: Patrick Willis, Parys Haralson
STONE COLD LOCK: You don’t get more of a lock than RILB Patrick Willis. Over his first three seasons in the league he has averaged a ridiculous 155 tackles per seasons and he’s just hitting his prime. Willis should be the No.1 IDP taken in practically every league and scoring system.
ON THE RISE: On paper, Taylor Mays is a player that fantasy football owners love. He possesses freakish measurables (6’3” and runs a 4.4 40-yard dash), he’s a big hitter who loves to stuff the run, and he has difficulties in coverage. Add all this up and Mays is set up to have a ton of tackle opportunities for his position. Think safety Roy Williams, but a better fantasy player.
BUST POTENTIAL: Current starting strong safety Michael Lewis has been one of the more consistent fantasy safeties around the last several years. He’s usually been dependable for 70+ solo tackles and a couple of big plays. This is more than likely the year that Lewis has a severe drop-off in production though. Highly-touted rookie Taylor Mays is nipping at his heels for the starting strong safety position and it’s only a matter of time before he gets it. Lewis may hold off Mays longer than most people think, but don’t expect him to be the starter come mid-season.
COMATOSE SLEEPER: LOLB Manny Lawson isn’t a player that gets drafted in many leagues; however, he is someone who could give you decent value in big-play leagues. He finished with five sacks in his last eight games in 2009 and once upon a time was a first round draft selection. The 49ers defense continues to get better and with teams focusing most of their attention on the beastly Patrick Willis, Lawson has a chance to fly under the radar and put up solid numbers.
ARIZONA CARDINALS
DEFENSIVE SCHEME: The Cardinals primarily run a 3-4 system under defensive coordinator Bill Davis. However, gap assignments are often times loosely assigned because of the talent at defensive end with Dockett and Campbell. In his first year as coordinator, Davis assumed a more aggressive approach to the defensive play-calling which benefited players such as Adrian Wilson. Some would argue Arizona runs more of a hybrid defensive scheme, but the drafting of nose tackle Dan Williams signals that they are leaning on moving closer to running a majority of their defensive plays out of 3-4 package.
EVERY-DOWN LINEBACKERS: Paris Lenon, Clark Haggans, Joey Porter
STONE COLD LOCK: Don’t count on anyone to be a “stone cold lock” for the Cardinals this season on defense. The player you should feel safest selecting in your IDP league is defensive end Darnell Dockett. His last three seasons in the NFL have been solid and he has emerged as one of the best 3-4 fantasy football defensive ends. Even if his sack numbers vary, his tackle numbers should remain consistent.
ON THE RISE: Daryl Washington is definitely the player with the most upside on this defense. He was one of the more underrated linebackers coming into the 2010 NFL Draft and has a chance to overtake Gerald Hayes or Paris Lenon for a starting job early in the season. The Cardinals typically like to bring their linebackers along slowly and it’s best to wait a little while before snatching Washington in redraft leagues.
BUST POTENTIAL: Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie is one of the more overrated fantasy cornerbacks in the league. His current Average Draft Position (ADP) is too high and he’s being selected ahead of proven veterans like Cortland Finnegan and Charles Tillman. He has had 10 INTs in his first two seasons; however, as he improves in coverage, teams will start throwing away from him more and his interception opportunities will decrease.
COMATOSE SLEEPER: In leagues that require a defensive tackle, rookie Dan Williams may be worth a look. Even though 3-4 nose tackles are usually a black hole for fantasy football points, Williams has the ability to overcome double teams and stuff the run. He also has the added benefit of having two very solid defensive ends surrounding him. He’s at least a guy to keep your eye on in very deep leagues that require you start a defensive tackle.
More IDP Sleepers & Busts (click to read)
NFC WEST | NFC SOUTH | NFC NORTH | NFC EAST
AFC EAST | AFC NORTH | AFC SOUTH | AFC WEST
If you have any further IDP questions feel free to shoot Ryan an email at .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address) or drop a line in our IDP Forums.
As always, for more great IDP information, visit the IDP Guru at www.idpguru.com.
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