Aug 22, 2012
It’s no secret that fantasy football championships can potentially be won with the right value pick or two in the middle to late rounds of your draft. However they can just as easily be lost by squandering early or middle round picks on players who fail to deliver results that match pre-draft expectations. Guys who fall into this category are commonly referred to as busts or overvalued players. Overvalued players tend to be those whose name recognition, preseason hype and/or past fantasy glory (think Randy Moss, DeSean Jackson, Brett Favre) lead owners to draft them too early, while the majority of busts are players whose situations have changed so much (e.g., new quarterback, new team, new coaching staff/scheme, upgrade or downgrade of players around them) that they’ll have a hard time living up to expected production. Others have significant injury histories to the extent that the risk far outweighs the reward.
Now it’s time to take a look at our Fantasy Football Bust Quarterbacks for the 2012 season. You don’t have to avoid every guy on this list come Draft Day, just go into your draft with your eyes wide open.
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Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos
The inclusion of Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning on this list is sure to endure great scrutiny, but hear us out. There is absolutely no doubt about the level of talent Manning brings to the Denver offense. He is indisputably one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. The Denver fans got on the Tim Tebow bandwagon last season because the team won and he helped lead a few comebacks. However, Manning offers another dimension to the Broncos offense that Tebow never could. However, there are a lot of red flags with Manning this season.
The most obvious is that Manning missed all of last season recovering from a neck injury that required three separate surgeries. The last game in which Manning played was on Jan. 9, 2011, a wild-card loss to the New York Jets. Manning has been so good because he functions on finesse and timing. A year away from the game combined with having to learn a new offense with a new offensive coordinator and new teammates is a big hurdle for that type of quarterback. Manning spent 13 seasons in Indianapolis so acclimating himself with a new team is not something that can happen overnight. Also consider that as prolific of a passer as Manning is, he goes to a team coached by John Fox. Fox is an old-school coach who prefers to win with defense and a strong running game. It’s typical to expect 4,000+ yards and 30+ touchdowns from Manning but both of those standards will be hard for him to reach this season. Manning is still a quarterback worth owning as a starter but he’s not going to replicate his past success - at least this season.
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