Daily Fantasy Sports is one of the most popular forms of fantasy football you’ll find. There are plenty of sites to choose from but, the most popular by far is DraftKings.com. If your fantasy season ended prematurely and you missed out on the playoffs, this gives you all the more reason to finish the season strong and dabble in some DFS.
Upside is everything when setting your roster on DK. Finding those hidden gems with low ownership totals and potential for a huge performance can take hours of research and analyzing. Luckily for you, we do a lot of the leg work for you.
Each week we will be bringing you players we have found on the Sunday main slate that present great value based on their price, potential ownership percentage and big-game upside. Here’s this week’s players:
Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons
DK Price: $6,000
In his first game of the post Mike McCarthy era, Aaron Rodgers presents a great value on DraftKings this weekend. Rodgers has been a bit of a disappointment this season based on the standards he has set for himself over his career. He’s been held to only 1 TD pass in each of his last two games and has been held under 200 passing yards in two of his last four games as well. With change happening all around the Packers coaching squad, Rodgers should get a great opportunity to take advantage of a plus matchup and get back to his high scoring ways.
The Packers will welcome the dome-dwelling Atlanta Falcons to Lambeau Field this weekend. The Falcons have surrendered the sixth most fantasy points to quarterbacks on DraftKings this season. While the Falcons have shown slight improvement lately holding both Drew Brees and Jameis Winston under 200 passing yards over the last two weeks, they still gave up 4 passing TDs to Brees. The Falcons have also allowed three or more touchdowns to quarterbacks in 7-of-12 games this season.
Rodgers offers plenty of overall QB1 upside this week in what could be a high scoring game. He also presents a full $1,000 discount compared to Pat Mahomes this week. It’s not the cheapest deal on the market, but it’s a pretty safe one.
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots
DK Price: $4,800
If you’re looking for a real bargain this week, scroll on down until you see Dolphins game manager extraordinaire, Ryan Tannehill. In Tannehill’s last two games since his return from injury, he hasn’t exactly racked up the yardage with a total of 341 passing yards in two games combined. He has, however, found the end zone with regularity. Tannehill has logged a fairly impressive 5:1 TD/INT ratio over the last two weeks. Going up against their division rival, New England Patriots, the Dolphins will need to pick up the pace and Tannehill could potentially see a season-best game statistically.
Tannehill has thrown for 300 yards or more in four of his last five matchups against the Pats. While he didn’t fair well against them earlier this season in Week 4, he now gets home field advantage where he hasn’t lost a game yet this season. Game flow should work well in Tannehill’s favor and he has the potential of throwing for 300 yards with a pair of TDs this week.
Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals
DK Price: $3,800
While most had pegged Austin Ekeler as the clear standout to take the place of the injured Melvin Gordon last week, Justin Jackson had something to say about that. A seventh round draft pick out of Northwestern, Jackson holds a second best Big Ten career record with 6,298 yards from scrimmage according to Sports-Reference.com. A heavy college workload pushed him down draft boards this preseason but he showed he still has plenty of gas in the tank last week rushing 8 times for 63 yards (7.8 YPA) and 1 TD. Jackson has now averaged 8 yards per attempt on 15 carries over the last two weeks.
Next up for the Chargers is a dream matchup against a Bengals defense that has been getting absolutely crushed by running backs all season. The Bengals have allowed an average of 126 rushing yards per game this season. Only the Raiders (130 YPG) have allowed more on average this season. The Bengals have also allowed 19 total TDs to the running back position this season.
Melvin Gordon is already ruled out once again this week. The Chargers are a heavy favorite with the Bengals missing both Andy Dalton and A.J. Green on offense. The game script should work heavily in Jackson’s favor to pound the rock all day against this vulnerable run defense. Austin Ekeler should resume his primary duties as a change-of-pace option and potentially take over on third downs. Jackson presents high upside RB2 potential under $4K this week.
Stevan Ridley, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders
DK Price: $3,300
The Steelers will be without workhorse running back James Conner this week. This opens the door for a committee to form of unknown balance between Jaylen Samuels and Stevan Ridley. Samuels is the heavy favorite for work amongst most in the fantasy community and his dual eligibility of RB/TE on some formats has caused some controversy. People seem to be overlooking and underestimating former Patriots starting running back, Stevan Ridley.
While Ridley is now in the twilight of his career at a dusty 29 years old, he was once a stud back in the fantasy community. In 2012, Ridley handled 290 carries for 1,263 yards and 12 TDs. Ridley isn’t much use in the passing game, which is where Samuels will flourish in the committee. When looking at the potential game script here against the black hole that is the Raiders, however, this lines up as more of a run heavy offensive approach for the Steelers as the Raiders have given up a league leading 130 rushing yards per game on average.
There is plenty of risk involved in selecting Ridley in lineups this week since the workload is completely unknown and the Steelers have generally preferred a bell-cow approach. Putting Ridley in your RB2 spot does, however, unlock plenty of potential to afford higher priced, elite talent at other positions and he should see a very low ownership percentage. Hitting on a play like this could push your lineup into a solid money day.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions
DK Price: $4,900
Larry Fitzgerald has quietly come back to life for fantasy purposes over the last few weeks. Fitzgerald has scored 5 TDs over his last six games but is coming off a rather disappointing performance last week (3/48) when the Cardinals upset the Packers. Fitzgerald could get back on track this week at home against the Lions.
The Lions have merely been middle of the pack when it comes to fantasy points allowed to wide receivers this season. They have given up 7 TDs to WRs over the last five games. The Lions have also given up some monster games to wideouts lately, here’s a few worth noting:
- Week 10: Allen Robinson – 6/133/2
- Week 10: Anthony Miller – 5/122/1
- Week 11: D.J. Moore – 7/157/1
With rookie Christian Kirk now out for the season, Larry Legend could see a heavier than normal workload in what should be a competitive matchup. Fitzgerald makes from a solid WR2 this week who won’t break the bank.
DaeSean Hamilton, WR, Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers
DK Price: $3,000
Another player thrusted into a potentially heavy starting workload this week is Broncos rookie wideout, DaeSean Hamilton. With Emmanuel Sanders suffering a season-ending injury in practice this week, Hamilton is slated to take Sanders’ role as the Broncos primary slot receiver. This is a role that has helped lead Sanders to a 71/868/4 receiving line this season.
Case Keenum has also shown an affinity for playing it safe and targeting his slot man, which helped Adam Thielen break out in a big way last season. While all the attention is on fellow rookie, Courtland Sutton, to pick up some of the targets vacated by Sanders, Hamilton is actually a sneaky favorite for a bulk of the work. Hamilton should fit well into the DraftKings PPR scoring system as he goes against a 49ers defense that ranks top-10 in most fantasy points allowed to wideouts. Hamilton’s attractive, bare minimum price of $3K is the ultimate value.
Matt Harmon, who created the must read “Reception Perception” series, covered Hamilton well as a prospect heading into this season. There is a wealth of knowledge you can find there.
Vance McDonald, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers @ Oakland Raiders
DK Price: $3,800
Vance McDonald is another Steeler who makes for a solid value play this week. McDonald has had an up and down season (as have most tight ends) due to nagging injuries and just general inconsistency. There is reason to be optimistic this week, however, as McDonald faces a Raiders defense that has given up the second most fantasy points to tight ends on DraftKings this season. McDonald has also seen decent target totals for a tight end having seen 7 targets just last week.
The Steelers shouldn’t have much trouble winning this one. While Antonio Brown and JuJu Smith-Schuster should garner plenty of attention from the defense, that could leave McDonald with plenty of room to run.
Ian Thomas, TE, Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns
DK Price: $2,700
If you’re looking to punt the tight end position altogether this week but still want a player who offers decent upside, Ian Thomas may be worth a look. Thomas is once again getting an opportunity for more work on offense as Greg Olsen is out with injury.
Thomas didn’t do much with his extended opportunities earlier this season but looked much better in relief last week. Thomas caught all 5 of his targets for 46 yards last week, setting new career best single game totals for receptions and yards. Things should get even easier this week as Thomas faces a Browns defense that has give up the fifth most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Thomas should see a high percentage of snaps and routes this week but is offered at the price of a backup TE.
Dallas Cowboys DST vs Philadelphia Eagles
DK Price: $2,600
The Cowboys are riding high coming into Week 14 after holding the high powered Saints offense to only 10 points last week. The Cowboys beat Drew Brees by holding him to a mere 127 yards and 1 TD while also snagging Brees’ third INT of the season. They also managed 2 sacks and held Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram to only 63 total rushing yards.
This week the Cowboys welcome the reigning Super Bowl Champions to town. The Eagles have been a bit bi-polar on offense this season which should set up the Cowboys for another solid performance as one of the most underrated defenses in the league this season.
New York Giants DST @ Washington Redskins
DK Price: $2,500
When looking to stream a defense in fantasy, picking the team going up against a QB who has fumbled a ball off his lineman’s butt before is almost always a good idea. The Giants get that opportunity this week as the Redskins will have to look to Mark Sanchez to take over after losing both Alex Smith and Colt McCoy to injury.
This matchup also comes at a great time for the G-Men as they’re coming off a solid showing last week where they totaled 5 sacks, 2 INTs, 1 fumble recovery and 1 DST TD against Bears backup, Chase Daniels. The Giants DST has now scored 2 TDs in the last three weeks. They’ve also scored double digit fantasy points in two of their last three games as well despite allowing each opposing offense to score 25 points or more. A big game is almost a lock for them this week.